This 100-hectare parcel near Nosara, Nicoya, Guanacaste is land with sound foundations and clear regenerative upside, scoring 66 out of 100. The reading that most shapes the work here is that dry spells are projected to run about 50 days by 2050. Its main strength is that most of the parcel reads as tree cover. The first move: build a water budget sized to the projected dry spell, not the annual average.
Riskmedium confidence
Dry spells are projected to run about 50 days by 2050.
A long rain-free stretch — not the yearly total — is what empties soil moisture and storage; size water storage and choose drought-tolerant planting to the dry spell, not the annual average.
Longest yearly run of days under 1 mm of rain projected near 50 days longer than today's 31-day spell (Open-Meteo daily climate).
Opportunitylow confidence
Most of the parcel reads as tree cover.
Tree cover can carry real conservation and carbon value, but satellite land-cover cannot tell natural forest from a monoculture plantation (oil palm, rubber, teak). Confirm which it is before assuming biodiversity or carbon value.
88% of the parcel reads as tree cover (satellite land-cover mapping). Naturalness is not verified.
Opportunityhigh confidence
A watercourse runs through the parcel.
On-site water supports irrigation, livestock, and habitat and can lower water-supply costs — though it may carry buffer or setback rules worth checking.
A mapped river or stream crosses the parcel (Río Montaña).
Climatemedium confidence
Models project a warmer and wetter climate here by 2050.
Expect a warmer and wetter future here; favour species and infrastructure that tolerate the projected range.
Projected change by 2050: +1.3 °C mean temperature, +1% rainfall. Exposure rated Moderate.
Climatemedium confidence
The land is projected to see roughly 116 hot days a year by 2050.
Many days above 32 °C stress crops, livestock, workers, and unshaded ground; favour heat-tolerant species, shade, and water retention, and plan for cooling and storage.
About 116 days a year with a daily high of 32 °C or more by the 2050 horizon up from about 83 today (Open-Meteo daily climate).
Waterhigh confidence
Rainfall is very high.
Abundant water supports productive growth but raises the risk of flooding, waterlogging, and nutrient leaching, so drainage and slope matter.
3,151 mm of rain per year. A watercourse crosses the parcel.
Terrainhigh confidence
The land is gently rolling.
Gentle terrain is generally workable with only minor grading for buildings or roads.
Mean elevation 100 m, mean slope 6°, 187 m of relief.
Biodiversitylow confidence
Little wildlife has been formally recorded here.
A low record count usually reflects limited survey effort rather than low biodiversity, so a ground survey is needed before drawing conclusions.
Only 18 biodiversity records nearby (GBIF, the global species-record archive).
Soilmedium confidence
Soil organic carbon is moderate.
The soil is workable but will benefit from cover cropping and organic inputs to build fertility before intensive use.
24 g/kg soil organic carbon in the top 30 cm, clay loam texture, pH 5.8 (ISRIC SoilGrids).
Accesshigh confidence
The parcel is relatively remote.
Distance from roads and towns means lower encroachment pressure and more privacy, but higher transport and operating costs.
About 5.08 km to the nearest road, 4.11 km to Bocas de Nosara.
Accessmedium confidence
Official Costa Rican record places this in Nosara, Nicoya, Guanacaste.
National cadastral and administrative data ground the parcel in the legal record — the basis for title, permitting, and tax diligence.
Jurisdiction: Nosara, Nicoya, Guanacaste. Source: SNIT.